Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Rocky Mountain News: Local

Rocky Mountain News: Local:
"Two people ejected from a speech by President Bush in Denver in 2005, allegedly because of an anti-war bumper sticker on a car they drove to the event, won a court order Monday they hope will uncover who gave the order to kick them out.

Leslie Weise and Alex Young, two of the three people removed from the taxpayer-funded event, are suing two Denver men for actually ousting them. But they believe a White House official gave the order.
Weise and Young say they did nothing disruptive at the speech and maintain the ouster violated their rights to free speech and protection from unreasonable search and seizure.

On Monday, U.S. District Judge Wiley Daniel rejected a motion to dismiss the case by defendants Michael Casper and Jay Klinkerman, who worked as volunteers at the event.

That decision allows attorneys for Weise and Young to question the two Denver men under oath.
Daniel limited their questioning of the defendants to issues of whether they are entitled to governmental immunity. But the judge said in his order that includes 'whether defendants were 'closely supervised' by government officials.'

'I think it's pretty clear,' Young said. 'Whether they were closely supervised' must include 'who the supervisors were and what their functions were.'

Weise and Young arrived at the president's speech March 21, 2005, at the Wings Over the Rockies museum at Lowry in a car with a bumper sticker that said, 'No More Blood for Oil.'

Klinkerman, head of the Colorado Young Republicans at the time, has admitted to being the volunteer who stopped them at the entrance of the event. He directed them to another man wearing a dark blue suit, radio earpiece and lapel pin, which made Weise and Young think he was a member of the Secret Service.

The man, whom they believe was Casper, a General Services employee working the event as a volunteer, allowed them in but later found them in the crowd and forced them to leave before the president arrived. Weise and Young believe he was ordered to do so by someone higher up in the Bush party."

Think Progress » Laura Bush on Michael J. Fox: ‘It’s Always Easy To Manipulate People’s Feelings’

Think Progress » Laura Bush on Michael J. Fox: ‘It’s Always Easy To Manipulate People’s Feelings’

insidious

Monday, October 30, 2006

Money trails lead to Bush judges | Salon News

Money trails lead to Bush judges Salon News

Viacom asks YouTube to purge certain clips -source | Business News | Reuters.com

Viacom asks YouTube to purge certain clips -source Business News Reuters.com

Internet observers including Reifman noted the irony of pulling down clips from Stewart and Colbert. Bloggers note that Colbert joked that he deserved $700 million of the $1.65 billion in stock Google plans to pay for YouTube.

Sunday, October 29, 2006

Crooks and Liars » SNL’s Glimpse Into The Final Week Of RNC Ads

Crooks and Liars » SNL’s Glimpse Into The Final Week Of RNC Ads

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth:

"Unfortunately I can't give you the video because CBS is making YouTube take down video we post there, claiming copyright infringement, so we're no longer posting CBS's video. I can however quote CBS's Bob Schieffer from this morning's Face the Nation with Ken Mehlman."

Think Progress » CNN’s Wolf Blitzer Calls Out Lynne Cheney For ‘Sniping At My Patriotism’

Think Progress » CNN’s Wolf Blitzer Calls Out Lynne Cheney For ‘Sniping At My Patriotism’

Today on CNN’s Late Edition, Blitzer said he was “surprised” at Cheney’s “sniping at my patriotism,” and pointed out that CNN had specifically labeled the tape of a U.S. soldier under fire as terrorist “propaganda.” He also said that CNN had made clear to Cheney’s staff “only hours before the interview” that she would be asked questions about politics during her appearance, not just about her children’s book.

NBC's Chip Reid: "The Mark Foley Scandal Investigation Is Going To Widen"... | The Huffington Post

NBC's Chip Reid: "The Mark Foley Scandal Investigation Is Going To Widen"... The Huffington Post

Friday, October 27, 2006

Crooks and Liars » Exactly Who Are We Fighting In Iraq?

Crooks and Liars » Exactly Who Are We Fighting In Iraq?

Crooks and Liars » Michael J Fox makes a fool out of Limbaugh

Crooks and Liars » Michael J Fox makes a fool out of Limbaugh

The sound and video aren't synced, but listen to Michael J. Fox....he is truthboy.

Crooks and Liars » The Rumsfeld Comedy Hour

Crooks and Liars » The Rumsfeld Comedy Hour

Daily Kos: CA Voting for Judges: Need Help

Daily Kos: CA Voting for Judges: Need Help

Lynne Cheney Claims Her Steamy Lesbian Novel Isn't "Sexually Explicit" | TPMCafe

I didn't pay attention to the whole story here -- something about a Dem candidate getting tagged by Imus for sex scenes in a novel he wrote. Which prompted the DNC to bring up a 2004 AP article about Lynne Cheney's book Sisters, which apparently had some lurid content too. (And which, by the way is selling for like $280 on Amazon when I went there just now to fetch the URL.)

Anyway, Lynne Cheney is on the Situation Room with Wolf, to plug her new children's book (which is selling for $10.77 and is Amazon #8 in books today). But he apparently leads off with questions regarding the news item regarding the DNC's statement about her book.

Just a nice Lynne Cheney vignette. She's all "Wolf, Wolf, can we just talk about a children's book here," y'know, extremely righteous and indignant.

VA-SEN: Lynne Cheney Claims Her Steamy Lesbian Novel Isn't "Sexually Explicit" | TPMCafe

includes link to video, which is a nice portrait of a lying liar imho


UPDATE: There's a longer version on Crooks & Liars.

Cook Political Report

Another week has gone by and little has changed. The Republican Party still seems to be headed toward a very tough election.

In the House, Republicans are most likely to see a net loss of 20 to 35 seats, and with it their majority. In the Senate, the GOP could lose at least four, but a five- or six-seat loss is more likely. A six-seat change tips the chamber into Democratic hands.

Could the situation change? Could the trajectory of this election be altered if the spotlight shifts from Iraq, congressional scandals, budget deficits, Hurricane Katrina, Terri Schiavo, stem-cell research and immigration onto something else, like terrorism or national security? Of course it could. In the time it takes to read this article, something could happen. A confrontation at sea involving a freighter going into or coming out of North Korea, for example, could dominate the news and the public consciousness. But unless something of that magnitude happens, we have to go with the situation as it stands.

While some stick to the assumption that this is a normal political environment, that this election is an "all politics is local" election like 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002 and 2004, they do so in the face of an enormous amount of polling data that demonstrates a horrendous political climate -- the kind that one sees periodically in midterm elections like 1958, 1966, 1974 and 1994, and even occasionally in presidential election years like 1932, 1964 and 1980.

Since 1994 is the most recent of these "wave" elections, when all politics is hardly local, compare the most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, conducted October 13-16 among 1,006 registered voters nationwide, with the comparable NBC/WSJ poll from October 1994. President Bill Clinton and the Democrats were in the hot seat, headed toward a 52-seat loss in the House and an eight-seat Senate defeat.

In the October 1994 NBC/WSJ poll, 39 percent of voters thought the country was headed in the right direction, compared with 48 percent who said it was on the wrong track -- a nine-point lead for wrong track. In the recent poll, just 26 percent said right direction and 61 percent said wrong track; a net difference of 35 points, significantly worse than 1994.

The October 1994 poll gave Clinton a job approval rating of 48 percent and a disapproval rating of 43 percent, a five-point difference. This month, just 38 percent approved of President Bush's performance compared to 57 percent who disapproved, a net disapproval of 19 points. Again, it's significantly worse than 1994.

In the poll taken 12 years ago, 24 percent approved of the job Congress was doing and 67 percent disapproved, a net disapproval of 43 points. In last week's poll, just 16 percent approved of Congress and a whopping 75 percent disapproved, a 59-point net disapproval.

At this point in 1994, the GOP had moved into a six-point lead in the generic congressional ballot test (44 percent to 38 percent). In the latest poll, the Democrats have a 15-point lead -- 52 percent to 37 percent. Once again, much worse than '94.

Finally, in October 1994, 39 percent said their congressman had performed well enough to deserve re-election compared with 49 percent who thought it was time to give a new person a chance -- a 10-point difference. In the new poll, the same 39 percent favored re-election, but the percentage preferring a new representative was a bit lower at 45 percent, a six-point difference and only marginally better for incumbents than 12 years ago.

In short, in four of the five diagnostic indicators, the situation is significantly worse for Republicans today than it was for Democrats in 1994. And in the remaining one, this year is marginally better.

Before anyone can erroneously draw the conclusion that this survey is just another mainstream/liberal media effort, the poll was supervised by designates from both the NBC News Political Unit and the political editor of the Wall Street Journal, collaborating with a top pollster from each party. The Democrat is Peter D. Hart, truly one of the deans of the political and Democratic polling communities. The Republican side was headed up by the late Robert Teeter, a true pioneer and leader in polling for the GOP. After Teeter passed away several years ago, Bill McInturff took over. McInturff is a senior partner in Public Opinion Strategies (R), the largest and most-respected survey research firm in the party, with the largest share of sitting senators, governors and House members. So this is hardly a poll that could be labeled slanted, and in fact is designed by two of the best practitioners on the planet.

Does this mean that Democrats are headed to victories of 52 or more seats in the House and eight or more seats in the Senate? Of course not. The number of vulnerable GOP House and Senate seats is smaller than the number Democrats faced in 1994, and the number of retirements this year is less than 12 years ago. But then again, no one is talking about a 52-seat House or eight-seat Senate gain for Democrats this year. In the House in fact, the halfway point between the 20- to 35-seat estimate mentioned above is 27.5 seats, just a bit over half of the 52 seats gained by the GOP in 1994.

Do Republicans have a financial advantage over Democrats in terms of national party spending? Yes, but that advantage is the narrowest its been in 20 years. The Sept. 30 cash-on-hand figures for the Republican National Committee and the GOP Senate and House campaign committees were just $10 million more than the Democratic National Committee and its Senate and House committees, $77 million to $67 million. The GOP spending advantage is there, but it's nothing like the 50- to 125-percent advantages that we have seen in previous elections.

Do Republicans, in their "72-hour program," have a superior get-out-the-vote operation compared with Democrats? No question. But the rule of thumb that campaign professionals have always used is that a strong GOTV operation is good for a point or two, certainly not much more than that. Having to pull out voters who are disillusioned by Iraq, scandals and other issues will be a challenge even for this exquisitely designed operation.

One way of looking at it is that the wave this year may be as big as or even bigger than in 1994, but there are fewer structures on and near the beach, and those that are in danger are made with somewhat sturdier construction than those in 1994, hence the likelihood of smaller losses. But smaller losses like 20 to 35 seats still would cost the GOP the House, and losses of five or six in the Senate put that chamber right at the tipping point.

At this stage, the Cook Political Report puts four GOP seats in the "Lean Democratic" column, and classifies 27 more as "Toss Ups." (Keep in mind that the almost ironclad, years-old policy of the Cook Political Report is to not rate unindicted incumbents worse than a Toss Up.) Another 17 GOP seats are in competitive races, but are still ahead by enough to warrant a "Lean Republican" rating, and then there are 18 more long-shot opportunities for Democrats, those rated in the "Likely Republican" column, leaving 166 as "Solid Republican." No Democratic seats remain in the Toss Up column, while seven are considered "Lean Democratic."

In the Senate, GOP incumbents Rick Santorum in Pennsylvania and Mike DeWine in Ohio remain distinct underdogs. Conrad Burns of Montana and Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island also run consistently behind and face uphill struggles, but in most polls they are not nearly as far behind as Santorum and DeWine. In Missouri, incumbent Jim Talent is basically running even, while George Allen maintains a modest but consistent lead in Virginia. In the Tennessee Republican open seat, there has been a small but potentially important shift in momentum away from Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. in favor of former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, the GOP standard-bearer. Ford had maintained a small lead and a world-class campaign but stumbled a little bit recently, while the Corker campaign, for the first time in this general election campaign, is showing signs of life. The race is likely to remain very close, but there were no positive signs for the GOP until the last week or two -- now there are.

Will Republicans pick off a Democratic seat? Republicans continue to argue that Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow remains highly vulnerable and that Macomb County Sheriff Mike Bouchard is within single digits and showing signs of life. That seat looks to be a better shot for the GOP than the Cantwell race in Washington state or the open seat in Minnesota.

But the seat most recently considered the best GOP pickup opportunity has seen a bit of a reversal. Republican state Sen. Tom Kean Jr.'s momentum appears to have halted in the last week or two, with very real questions arising about whether Kean will have the funding to compete in the extraordinarily expensive New York City and Philadelphia media markets. Appointed Sen. Robert Menendez (D) remains plagued by ethical and legal allegations -- he clearly has problems -- but the inability of the GOP to commit the $5 million or so necessary to do the job could make the difference.

Could things change, as they did in early September when the pendulum swung from Iraq and scandals to terrorism, national security and appreciation for falling gasoline prices, only to swing back at the end of the month? Sure. But it has to swing, and that does not appear to have happened yet. Maybe it will, but maybe it won't.

Thursday, October 26, 2006

Confession that formed base of Iraq war was acquired under torture: journalist - Yahoo! News

Confession that formed base of Iraq war was acquired under torture: journalist - Yahoo! News

i think they played cheney for a fool

Dingalinks

Use those dingalinks.

Dingalinks are hotlinks that take you to a specific time in a bh.tv diavlog. For example, the dingalink http://bloggingheads.tv/?id=42&in=7:28 would start playing the video 7 minutes and 28 seconds into diavlog number 42. You can use dingalinks—in e-mails or on blogs—to direct people's attention to any particular utterance or exchange within any diavlog. (At last—quoting out of context comes to the world of video!)

How do you create a dingalink? When the video you're watching reaches the point you want to call attention to, click the "dingalink" button below the screen (lower right). Then look up in your browser's address space and you'll see the dingalink, which you can now copy and paste. (Users of the Mozilla Fireflox browser may need a plug-in, and they should receive instructions to this effect when they click on the dingalink button. The place to find the plug-in is: http://www.iol.ie/~locka/mozilla/plugin.htm#download.) If you feel you've clicked the dingalink button a few seconds too late, or too early, you can of course alter the digits at the end of the dingalink manually. (For that matter, if you're having trouble with the dingalink button, you can create the dingalink from scratch manually by using the formula above.)

If you are having difficulty creating or using dingalinks, please email us at support@bloggingheads.tv where we will do our best to assist you.

Second Life Discussion

BloggingHeads.tv

Dan Drezner & Ann Althouse, about 9 minutes long.

David Corn: A Real October Surprise

TomPaine.com

David Corn imagines a different course for W. And yes, it's 1:30am.

Crooks and Liars » Olbermann Gives Us The Visual To Limbaugh’s Attack On Michael J. Fox

By now everyone has heard Limbaugh's little commentary about Michael J. Fox's appearance in the ad for Claire McCaskill. Well tonight Keith Olbermann supplied us with the visual to accompany Rush's latest show of idiocy.

Video - WMV Video - QT

After showing the clip of Limbaugh's sad reenactment of Fox's appearance, Keith was joined by Sam Seder to discuss it, along with other ways the Republicans turn to attacks instead of addressing the issues. Seder nails the main talking point surrounding this whole discussion - How the right attacks those who are actually affected by these issues and posses the bravery to bring them into the political arena. Just ask the Congressional pages about that one.

Tuesday, October 24, 2006

BUSH "I NEVER SAID STAY THE COURSE" + interesting interview

Olbermann, 10/23/2006

Andrew Sullivan | The Daily Dish: Reynolds' Lame Excuses

Andrew Sullivan The Daily Dish: Reynolds' Lame Excuses:

"Choosing Republicans over Dems if you are a single issue voter on gay matters means your partisanship has warped your judgment beyond measure, as, in Reynolds case, it has for a very long time."

Andrew Sullivan | The Daily Dish: Instapundit's Man

Andrew Sullivan The Daily Dish: Instapundit's Man

Where's the Shame?

Interesting post from March/April 2006 by Glenn Greenwald, linked from firedoglake yesterday. Firedoglake was taking instapundit to task (a la the geebus of late) for being an unremorseful (so far) war cheerleader. Greenwald's post hammers instapundint and a number of others for their positions c. 2003, wondering aloud why these guys have not yet been entirely shamed into silence.

Unclaimed Territory - by Glenn Greenwald: The Death of Shame in our Pundit Class: "There are not many episodes in our national history which can compete with the invasion of Iraq in terms of the profound failures of every one of our institutions -- failures which allowed this sort of deceit and detachment from reality to persist. But until we identify those responsible and end the influence which they continue to exert over our political dialogue, we will continue to be at risk of following them down these same deceitful, destructive paths."

Thursday, October 19, 2006

David Corn

David Corn: "RUMOR ALERT. Former Clerk of the House Jeff Trandahl has told the House ethics committee about two Republican House members who had sex with congressional pages, and neither man is page-chaser Mark Foley. That's the rumor circulating in Washington. One of these Republicans supposedly had sex with a male page; one with a female page. The names of the implicated Republicans are on the rumor-mill, but I'm not going to disclose these identities. I assume if there's truth to this, the allegation will become public. (But then I assumed someone would post The List.) In any event, what impact would such a revelation have on the coming elections? Are Republicans bracing for this bombshell? Perhaps they're preparing to blame Democratic operatives.

questionable source

Wayne Madsen Report - Home:

"October 19, 2006 -- WMR's Capitol Hill sources report that the final shoe on the Jack Abramoff scandal has not yet dropped and that something 'big' may come just prior to the November 7 election. WMR has previously reported that forced child prostitution in the U.S. Pacific territory of the Northern Marianas may involve some GOP members of Congress. Abramoff represented the Northern Marianas and its unregulated clothing manufacturers that imported slave laborers from China and the Philippines. There is evidence that the children of the laborers were used as child prostitutes for visiting U.S. 'dignitaries.'"

Crooks and Liars » As I predicted: Bill relates his own criticism to Bush’s; still attacks bloggers

Crooks and Liars » As I predicted: Bill relates his own criticism to Bush’s; still attacks bloggers

The second half of this on bloggers - very interesting

short and funny

Crooks and Liars » Open Thread

The Raw Story | FBI investigating Beauprez for attack ad

The Raw Story FBI investigating Beauprez for attack ad:

"A criminal investigation that now involves the FBI sent shock waves through the race for Colorado governor Wednesday.

The Colorado Bureau of Investigation announced that it had determined that someone accessed information in an FBI database on Carlos Estrada Medina, who has been the star of a TV attack ad against Democrat Bill Ritter.

That ad was sponsored by Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez, and he and his campaign staff will now be interviewed by FBI agents."

people don't really buy this...do they?

GOP to air ad warning of terror attacks - Yahoo! News:

"WASHINGTON - The Republican Party will begin airing a hard-hitting ad this weekend that warns of more cataclysmic terror attacks against the U.S. homeland.


The ad portrays Osama bin Laden and quotes his threats against America dating to February 1998. 'These are the stakes,' the ad concludes. 'Vote November 7.'"

The Raw Story | GOP wants own cand. to withdraw in CA

The Raw Story GOP wants own cand. to withdraw in CA:

"GARDEN GROVE, Calif. - Orange County Republican leaders on Thursday called for the withdrawal of a GOP congressional candidate they believe sent a letter threatening Hispanic immigrant voters with arrest.

Tan D. Nguyen denied knowing anything about the letter in an interview Thursday with The Associated Press but said he fired a campaign staffer who may have been responsible for it.

County Republican Chairman Scott Baugh, however, said that after speaking with state investigators and the company that distributed the mailer, he believes Nguyen had direct knowledge of 'obnoxious and reprehensible' letter. He told the AP that the party’s executive committee voted unanimously to Nguyen to drop out of the race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Loretta Sanchez."

The Blotter

The Blotter:

"The Republican source said Trandahl planned to name Ted Van Der Meid, the speaker's counsel and floor manager, as the person who was briefed on a regular basis about any issue that arose in the page program, including a 'problem group of members and staff who spent too much time socializing with pages outside of official duties.' One of whom was Mark Foley. "

The Raw Story | O’Reilly on Blogs: I'd go in with grenade

The Raw Story O’Reilly on Blogs: I'd go in with grenade:

"O’Reilly said that he knew “for a fact that President Bush doesn’t know what’s going on in the Internet.”

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Sources: House clerk warned GOP about Foley years ago - CNN.com

Sources: House clerk warned GOP about Foley years ago - CNN.com:

"'Jeff is a guy who always does the right thing,' Shniderman said. 'He lives by the truth. He lives by one truth. He's not a man that tells different stories to different people.'"

Monday, October 16, 2006

danieldrezner.com :: Daniel W. Drezner :: The economics of worlds colliding#more

danieldrezner.com :: Daniel W. Drezner :: The economics of worlds colliding#more: "Reuters' Adam Pasick reports that the market for virtual goods is beginning to draw the attention of real-world tax authorities (hat tip: Greg Mankiw):
Users of online worlds such as Second Life and World of Warcraft transact millions of dollars worth of virtual goods and services every day, and these virtual economies are beginning to draw the attention of real-world authorities."

The Blog | Matt Stoller: Post-2006 Part One: Sesame Street or Lord of the Flies? | The Huffington Post

The Blog | Matt Stoller: Post-2006 Part One: Sesame Street or Lord of the Flies? | The Huffington Post: "You don't really get a sense of the structural integrity of a system until it falls under pressure. In 1977, New York was a lot sicker than it was in 2004, and this became obvious when the lights went out and Lord of the Flies, as opposed to Sesame Street, began.
If the Republicans go down this year, the entire right-wing system will be put under new pressure. Not a lot of pressure, mind you, but a marginally larger amount of pressure than the wingnuts are used to. So we have to start asking ourselves how their system will respond. Will they regroup quickly and counterattack in 2008, or will they fall to backbiting and infighting as they try to distance themselves from Bush, who isn't of course a real conservative?"

Sunday, October 15, 2006

Crooks and Liars » David Kuo on 60 Minutes: “The name of God is being destroyed in the name of politics”

Crooks and Liars » David Kuo on 60 Minutes: “The name of God is being destroyed in the name of politics”

* * * * *

flash forward: 5.19.2008

there's something happening there

Wolf kicked Mehlman around today

Never thought Wolf would ask Mehlman about his relationship with Abramoff despite the major coverage of their relationship in today's LA Times article. But, he did. Mehlman's answer was completely Nixonian. He kept saying, "I don't recall the specifics" and "I don't recall it specifically."

Instapundit.com -KARL ROVE'S SECRET WEAPON

Instapundit.com -KARL ROVE'S SECRET WEAPON

Help me understand how this guy can link to this article (I assume he read those words which struck me as so soundly logical and reality-based) and make the comments he did in his blog post. What am I missing?

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

FT.com / In depth - Politicians yet to realise impact of internet, warns Google chief

FT.com / In depth - Politicians yet to realise impact of internet, warns Google chief

Politicians have yet to wake up to the impact of the -internet, which will expose them to online "truth predictor" tests and affect the outcome of general elections, the head of Google said on Tuesday.

Daily Kos: Why did sources out Foley?

Daily Kos: Why did sources out Foley?

Monday, October 09, 2006

83 percent of respondents thought that Mr. Bush...

Foley Scandal Is Hurting G.O.P.'s Image, Poll Finds - New York Times:

"83 percent of respondents thought that Mr. Bush was either hiding something or mostly lying when he discussed how the war in Iraq was going."

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

this is anexample (albeit a minor one) of the truth machine

USATODAY.com - Poll: Democratic candidates open large lead in congressional races

USATODAY.com - Poll: Democratic candidates open large lead in congressional races:

Big change in a month:

"On the question of which party's candidate would receive their vote if the election were held today, Democrats held a 23-point lead over Republicans among every type of person questioned — likely voters, registered voters and adults. That's the largest lead Democrats have held among registered voters since 1978 and a jump from last month's 48%-48% split among likely voters."

USATODAY.com - Poll: Democratic candidates open large lead in congressional races

USATODAY.com - Poll: Democratic candidates open large lead in congressional races:

Big change in a month:

"On the question of which party's candidate would receive their vote if the election were held today, Democrats held a 23-point lead over Republicans among every type of person questioned — likely voters, registered voters and adults. That's the largest lead Democrats have held among registered voters since 1978 and a jump from last month's 48%-48% split among likely voters."

Sunday, October 08, 2006

Lawmaker Saw Foley Messages In 2000 - washingtonpost.com

Lawmaker Saw Foley Messages In 2000 - washingtonpost.com:

"A Republican congressman knew of disgraced former representative Mark Foley's inappropriate Internet exchanges as far back as 2000 and personally confronted Foley about his communications.

A spokeswoman for Rep. Jim Kolbe (R-Ariz.) confirmed yesterday that a former page showed the congressman Internet messages that had made the youth feel uncomfortable with the direction Foley (R-Fla.) was taking their e-mail relationship. Last week, when the Foley matter erupted, a Kolbe staff member suggested to the former page that he take the matter to the clerk of the House, Karen Haas, said Kolbe's press secretary, Korenna Cline."

Saturday, October 07, 2006

Andrew Sullivan | The Daily Dish: The Clerk

Andrew Sullivan The Daily Dish: The Clerk

I know nothing about the details of the page scandal, except what's in the press and D.C. gossip, and have no idea who might have tried to prevent or not prevent Foley from continuing his predation. It is clear, however, that the House Clerk at the time, Jeff Trandahl, is close to the center of it. Today's Washington Post has an interesting story that suggests that Trandahl was a strict disciplinarian of the pages, took his responsiblities very seriously, did everything he could to stop Foley, and after being unable to get Hastert or Reynolds to stop it, quit:

Sources close to Fordham say Trandahl repeatedly urged the longtime aide and close family friend to confront Foley about his inappropriate advances on pages. Each time, Foley pledged to no longer socialize with the teenagers, but, weeks later, Trandahl would again alert Fordham about more contacts. Out of frustration, the sources said, Fordham contacted Palmer, hoping that an intervention from such a powerful figure in the House would persuade Foley to stop.

Now, a second House aide familiar with Foley and his actions told The Washington Post yesterday that "Scott Palmer had spoken to Foley prior to November 2005." The aide spoke on the condition of anonymity because the matter is now the subject of a criminal investigation and the House ethics committee inquiry.

Friday, October 06, 2006

YouTube - The President's Job

The Swamp - Chicago Tribune - Blogs.

The Swamp - Chicago Tribune - Blogs.:

"'We know there are reports of people that knew it and kind of fed it out or leaked it to the press,' Hastert said. 'That's why we've asked for an investigation. So, let me just say, that's why we've asked for an investigation, to find who that is.'"

Doofusboy-in-Chief

Robert J. Elisberg
The Huffington Post

[I]t would take a blind ostrich to miss the trademarks of a childish fratboy punk who is so insecure and wrapped up in being a bully and burying his daddy issues and born-again issues and alcohol/cocaine/AWOL issues that he can't stand disagreement and must absolutely have his own way.

But, of course, I mean that in a nice way. Is the description actually true? Oh, who knows? Fake pop-psychology doesn't require a degree. But what is true is that we all know people like this from growing up. We can deny what we see before our eyes, but the body knows. And shivers in remembrance.

Evangelicals Fear the Loss of Their Teenagers

New York Times

While some critics say the statistics are greatly exaggerated (one evangelical magazine for youth ministers dubbed it “the 4 percent panic attack”), there is widespread consensus among evangelical leaders that they risk losing their teenagers.

“I’m looking at the data,” said Ron Luce, who organized the meetings and founded Teen Mania, a 20-year-old youth ministry, “and we’ve become post-Christian America, like post-Christian Europe. We’ve been working as hard as we know how to work — everyone in youth ministry is working hard — but we’re losing.”

Thursday, October 05, 2006

Majority Watch -- Sophisticated Robo Polls

Methodology page

Pollster.com comment on methodology

Angry - a data point

Bush Administration

Bravo! Jon Stewart

did you catch jon stewart's riff on la cage au foley? Crooks & Liars.

Brad Blog: Diebold

Princeton Study of Diebold Voting Machines:
http://itpolicy.princeton.edu/voting/

Diebold Election Systems Response:
http://releases.usnewswire.com/GetRelease.asp?id=72390


Diebold says:

A virus was introduced to a machine that is never attached to a network.

This response dodges the question, expressing a complete misunderstanding of the nature of viruses by implying that viruses are irrelevant if there is no network. First, viruses originally emerged as a threat in the era of the Apple ][ personal computer, where they were spread on floppy disks that were hand carried between machines. What matters, clearly, is the presence of communication, not wires. Communication by hand carried disks, or PCMCIA cards, creates an environment in which the possibility of viruses is worthy of investigation.

The current generation AccuVote-TS software - software that is used today on AccuVote-TS units in the United States - has the most advanced security features, including Advanced Encryption Standard 128 bit data encryption, Digitally Signed memory card data, Secure Socket Layer (SSL) data encryption for transmitted results, dynamic passwords, and more.

Diebold has not released to the public sufficient information to allow an assessment of the competence with which these measures were applied. As a result, we cannot determine whether these are applied in an effective way, or whether they are as ineffective as the use of DES was back in 1997.

In addition to this extensive security, the report all but ignores physical security and election procedures. Every local jurisdiction secures its voting machines - every voting machine, not just electronic machines. Electronic machines are secured with security tape and numbered security seals that would reveal any sign of tampering.

See Avi Rubin's report. See the report from Cleveland [PDF] on the frequency with which these measures were used effectively. See Ed Felton's comments on the denial of service attack that security seals offer. I commented on the same with regard to the ES&S iVotronic in my comments on the pre-election tests in Miami [PDF] [see page 13 and 24-25] in 2004.

If you take seals seriously, you must inventory seal numbers at the time applied and insist on recording the seal numbers at the time they are broken. Auditors must routinely check that these records are properly maintained, and any seal found broken should disqualify the machine it is attached to. Jurisdictions don't do this, and the seals being used are so flimsy that if they did, someone could shut down a polling place by careful use of their thumbnail. In sum, the use of seals, as it is being done now, is about cosmetics, not about security.

Secure voting equipment, proper procedures and adequate testing assure an accurate voting process that has been confirmed through numerous, stringent accuracy tests and third party security analysis.

Diebold owes the public a list of the third party security analyses that have found their system to be secure. None of the analyses I'm aware of drew positive conclusions. Certainly the redacted SAIC study, [ed note: The redacted SAIC report was originally posted here on Maryland's website, but now appears to be gone. So it's really redacted at this point apparently. The preceding link is to the Exec Summary of its findings instead] and the Compuware study [PDF], and the Raba study [PDF] all found major flaws. I've spoken with authors of the Raba study who were livid about the way Diebold lobbied them during the writing of their report to soften the wording, and then misrepresented the results in their public relations campaign that followed. The SAIC study is still not available in unredacted form. Does this mean that it still documents weaknesses that have yet to be corrected?

Every voter in every local jurisdiction that uses the AccuVote-TS should feel secure knowing that their vote will count on Election Day.

Indeed. I agree completely. They should feel secure. Or at least, that is what we owe them. I wish we could follow through on that promise.

Doug Jones
jones@cs.uiowa.edu

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Hubris

David Corn discusses his book Hubris on bloggingheads tv with James Pinkerton (Newsday, New America Foundation, etc.) There's an interesting exchange about 13 or 14 minutes in, when the name Laurie Milroy is mentioned. Pinkerton asks who Laurie Milroy is. Corn, who evidently knows of some connection between Pinkerton and Milroy, turns the tables on him, saying "I guess I should ask you that," which flusters Pinkerton, who starts sputtering and wincing etc.

But that's not why I'm posting it. It speaks for itself about why I'm posting it.

Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Technorati: Popular Blogs

Technorati: Popular Blogs:

Network Weaving: NOLA Networks

Network Weaving: NOLA Networks

Andrew Sullivan | The Daily Dish

Andrew Sullivan The Daily Dish:

"First off, most young people today use an IM program called Trillian. The program allows you to use a single interface for all your IM contacts even though your IM friends may all use different IM programs (AIM, MSN, Yahoo, ICQ, etc.).

As a by-product of using Trillian (and most other IM programs), all conversations are stored as a log file in the Trillian history folder. I've gone in and double checked and all of my IM conversations, going back years, are saved as long log files, one for each contact in my contact list. I believe that all of the main IM programs do the same thing.

So, no, people don't actively or purposely 'save' IMs. Most tech-savvy people know that IMs are automatically saved as a by-product of using an IM program. So if anyone, at any time, has any reason to go back and track down a previous IM exchange, it's relatively easy to do.

It's scary to think, but unbeknownst to him, I'd assume that all of Mr. Foley's old IM’s are probably stored on his PC, assuming a staffer did not go in and delete them once the story broke."

Monday, October 02, 2006

Crooks and Liars » Andy Card dances around Woodward’s book: Doesn’t criticise him

Crooks and Liars » Andy Card dances around Woodward’s book: Doesn’t criticise him

This is long (about 10 minutes) and not that interesting, but it is Card not lying...just not particularly telling the truth, but not lying. Dancing a lot and ignoring the direct questions, but affirming that he met with Woodward a lot and that he was very forthcoming with Woodward.

"I was probably too candid."

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

WASHINGTON TIMES ON TUESDAY WILL CALL FOR SPEAKER HASTERT'S RESIGNATION, NEWSROOM SOURCES TELL DRUDGE... DEVELOPING... Editorial titled: 'Resign, Mr. Speaker': 'House Speaker Dennis Hastert must do the only right thing, and resign his speakership at once... Mr. Hastert has forfeited the confidence of the public and his party, and he cannot preside over the necessary coming investigation, an investigation that must examine his own inept performance'... -- Washington Times, October 3, 2006...

Here is the editorial

Daily Kos: I thought it was Clinton's fault...

Daily Kos: I thought it was Clinton's fault...

I believe you made this point yesterday:

Condi was right in her initial reaction, that it is "incomprehensible" that she would ignore such warnings.

And yet she did.

Think Progress » ABC News: Pages ‘Sending All Sorts of Messages About Possible Other Members’

Think Progress » ABC News: Pages ‘Sending All Sorts of Messages About Possible Other Members’

Irony

Andrew Sullivan The Daily Dish:

"Here's Brian Ross' latest. I'd say it's looking grim for Hastert. There is a very sick irony in the possibility that of all the issues that this Congress deserves rebuking on, they may end up being most damaged by coddling and protecting a sexually predatory creep. "

the lying liars

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

Hastert getting grilled on CNN

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

CNN short

Sunday, October 01, 2006

NY Times: 9/11 Panel Members Weren’t Told of Meeting

9/11 Panel Members Weren’t Told of Meeting - New York Times:
"Senator Joseph R. Biden Jr. of Delaware, the senior Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said on “Face the Nation” on CBS that there had been “rumors” of such an encounter between Mr. Tenet and Ms. Rice in the summer of 2001.

Mr. Woodward’s book, he said, raised the question of “why didn’t Condi Rice and George Tenet tell the 9/11 commission about that? They were obliged to do that and they didn’t.”"

Powell Tried to Warn Bush on Iraq, Book Says - New York Times

Powell Tried to Warn Bush on Iraq, Book Says - New York Times:

"Colin L. Powell, in his last face-to-face meeting with President Bush before stepping down as secretary of state in January 2005, tried to impress upon him one last time the dangers he saw the United States facing in Iraq, according to a new Powell biography."

The insurgency was growing and the country was spiraling into sectarian bloodshed, Mr. Powell warned. Elections in Iraq would not solve the problems, and the president’s ability to act decisively was being crippled by divisions within his own administration, according to the account in “Soldier: The Life of Colin Powell” (Knopf, 2006) by Karen DeYoung, an associate editor at The Washington Post. Mr. Bush appeared disengaged, the book says, and brushed off Mr. Powell’s complaints about dysfunction in his government.

The book is among the latest accounts of the divisions in the administration as it hurtled toward war and stumbled through its aftermath. The Powell biography provides further detail on his early misgivings about the war and the size of the force assembled to fight it, doubts that have been reported in several other books, including those by Ms. DeYoung’s colleague at The Post, Bob Woodward.

Woodward’s 60 Minutes Interview on ‘State of Denial’

Crooks and Liars » Woodward’s 60 Minutes Interview on ‘State of Denial’

My work on this leads to lots of people who spend hours, days with the president and in most cases, they are my best sources. And there is a concern that we need to face realism, not being the voice that says, "oh, no, everything's fine," when it's not.

Handy Timeline Of Foleygate Scandal | TPMCafe

Handy Timeline Of Foleygate Scandal TPMCafe

The fact that I can go to a website days after this thing broke and find a linked-up timeline like this may never cease to amaze me, but the digital natives will probably thinking nothing of it.

i just post this because it exemplfies the collective and the power of the digital age

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

GOP Rep. John Shimkus (R-IL) let Foley spend "a lot of time" with pages, including private dinner with one, after GOP knew Foley was a problem by John in DC - 10/01/2006 08:41:00 PM

Shimkus is toast. There's even video of Shimkus letting Foley talk to the pages AFTER the GOP knew Foley had page-issues.

You'll recall that he is the Republican member of Congress who runs the Page Board, the group in charge of the pages. You'll also recall that tonight we learned on ABC News that GOP House staff warned the page class of 2001-2002 to stay away from ex-Rep. Mark Foley.

Then why is it that on June 6, 2002, well after the kids were warned to stay away from Foley, Shimkus notes approvingly that Foley has spent a lot of time with the Page Class of 2001-2002? This is Shimkus speaking at the page's goodbye ceremony,

MR. SHIMKUS: I thank my colleague. Now someone who spends a lot of time with you also, the gentleman from Florida (Mr. Foley), would like to say a thank you.

(Note: We've confirmed in the Congressional Record that this is the exact transcript of the proceedings that day.)

The GOP staff knew Foley was a problem the year before, they warned the pages in 2001. Yet Shimkus, the next year is acknowledging that Foley was still permitted to spend "a lot of time" with the pages. In the name of God, why?

Oh, but it gets worse.....(read on)

data points







more from the collective

The Blotter

GOP Staff Warned Pages About Foley in 2001

more from the collective on Foley and Reynolds

AMERICAblog: A blog for a great nation that deserves the truth

Think Progress reports on the NY Daily News blog post about an "unusually large" $100,000 contribution from Foley to the GOP House campaign fund controlled by Congressman Reynolds. Foley transferred the money in July of this year. Reynolds had already contributed $5k to Foley in May of 2006. Remember, from his perch as chair of the NRCC, Reynolds is the top House Republican political operative this cycle. As TP reminds us, Reynolds was one of the House leaders who knew early on about Foley's email problems -- well before this money changed hands.

Lobbyists: Sports Tickets and Springsteen—The E-Mail Trail - Newsweek Periscope - MSNBC.com

Lobbyists: Sports Tickets and Springsteen—The E-Mail Trail - Newsweek Periscope - MSNBC.com:

"The folks around Karl Rove are on the hot seat again."

darn that information age

VIDEO: Foley..."We Track Library Books Better Than We Track Pedophiles"... The Huffington Post